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huangjian123
Pridružen/-a: 17.09. 2018, 10:14
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 Objavljeno: 27 Feb 2019 03:53 Naslov sporočila: Russell Wilson Jersey |
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The Seattle Seahawks have a low-volume Womens Quinton Jefferson Jersey , high-efficiency passing offense that head coach Pete Carroll has surely been craving after seeing what happened in the 2016 and 2017 seasons. It’s a run-first offense that thrives off of play-action, and Russell Wilson is tasked to make the most out of his limited attempts.Thus far, the results have been positive under Brian Schottenheimer. Seattle currently ranks 6th in pass offense DVOA, which is lower than only the 2012 and 2015 Seahawks, the gold standards for offense under Carroll. Wilson is on pace to set a career-high for touchdown passes, and could have a career-low in interceptions. But while the numbers suggest this is one of the top passing offenses in the NFL, they sure as hell aren’t among the best in every aspect of the aerial attack. In fact, the Seahawks could stand to significantly improve its woeful “Yards After Catch” (YAC) statistics. NFL Team YAC Stats (as of Week 15, 2018 NFL Season)TeamPassing YardsYards After CatchYAC PercentageYAC/ReceptionTeamPassing YardsYards After CatchYAC PercentageYAC/ReceptionInfo courtesy of Stats.com The Seahawks are 27th in passing yards, which is unsurprising due to the number of attempts from Wilson, but they are 30th in YAC, 21st in YAC per reception, and 31st in percentage of passing yards coming from YAC. Only two of Russell Wilson’s 31 touchdowns have come on plays where the receiver gained at least 10 yards beyond the reception point.YAC stats are admittedly all over the place depending on if you use ESPN.com or Stats.com or FootballDB.com, but it’s pretty jarring that Tyler Lockett is 24th in the NFL in receiving yards (800) yet 89th in YAC (211). According to FootballDB, Mike Davis is Seattle’s leading YAC receiver with 225 yards, good for 78th place. Mike Davis has 202 total receiving yards, by the way.This obviously isn’t just a Brian Schottenheimer problem, because ESPN’s stats had Seattle’s receivers only getting 1,543 yards in YAC out of 3,979 total passing yards in Darrell Bevell’s 2017 offense http://www.seahawksfootballauthentics.com/chris-carson-jersey-authentic , a pitiful 4.54 YAC/Reception. Now granted, the table shows you that some YAC leading teams are also bad passing offenses, such as the San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins, while higher-end passing teams like the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons aren’t exactly YAC machines themselves, but they do have elite #1 options in Michael Thomas and Julio Jones. On the other hand, the Kansas City Chiefs are the #1 passing team, and double as one of the best at generating YAC, primarily due to phenomenal scheming and the individual brilliance of Tyreek Hill.There’s no one answer as to why the Seahawks struggle to get yards after the catch. I tend to think it’s primarily a combination of talent and scheme. This stat shows you how rarely the Seahawks WRs — just WRs, not RBs or TEs — have forced the defense to miss tackles in 2018.In other words, most play-designs are effectively resulting in immediate tackles or getting out of bounds whenever a Seahawks receiver catches the ball. It’s also well established that the Seahawks do not dial up many screen passes, and usually when they ran those under Darrell Bevell it turned into disaster. Whether it was blown blocks, bad throws by Russell Wilson, or bad open field decision-making, they sucked at it. The “eye test” tells me Seattle actually is executing RB screens more effectively this season, but they seldom use them.There’s also a recent statistic that shows the Seahawks throw outside the numbers more than all but a couple of teams this season, and while this number might lack context of number of throwaways, NextGenStats charts essentially confirm that Wilson rarely challenges the middle of the field outside of shorter throws.Then there is Wilson himself. An inaccurate or mistimed pass can essentially lead to “lost hidden yards.” This heroic game-winning throw to Tyler Lockett against the Carolina Panthers really should’ve been a touchdown — it’s a good thing it wasn’t, as Carolina not getting the ball back was better for the Seahawks — and instead of 18 yards after the catch, Lockett ends up with just three.The Seahawks simultaneously have a great passing offense and a very limited one. They are proficient at play-action, deep passing Womens Tre Flowers Jersey , and frankly... not much else? Screens, pick plays, seam throws down the middle of the field, routes designed for running backs, exploiting zones, straight drop-back passing, these are simply not consistent strengths of the passing game, and that’s perhaps by design. If that’s the case, the lack of YAC is probably here to stay. What is of concern on the other side of the ball is the fact that the Seahawks defense has allowed almost 2,000 yards after catch out of 3,681 total passing yards, making them one of the worst in the NFL. Perhaps that’s what makes losses like the 49ers game last week so frustrating. An objectively inferior offense was able to get “easy extra yards” that the Seahawks offense repeatedly fails to manage. And who’s coming to town this Sunday? The team that’s 2nd in YAC and YAC per reception. Uh oh.“I know you RBut what am I?” Running backs are a weapon in the NFL. This is indisputable. And not just as receivers out of the backfield either, this is not a mind game I’m playing with you where I flip the script in a second and say that running doesn’t matter. Of course it matters. Ezekiel Elliott is a great example of a running back who is a weapon on the ground and successful in spite of the Dallas Cowboys having nary the whisper of a passing game threat. Elliott has led the NFL in rushing yards per game in each of his first two seasons and he’s doing it again:73 carries, 426 rushing yards, 5.8 yards per carry, and without him the Cowboys would almost certainly be 0-4 instead of 2-2. He’s a weapon on the ground. No question. He’s the best running back in the league ... and Dallas is 30th in scoring.Ok, I might flip the script a tiny bit. A few pages at least.I still want to make it clear though that it would be ludicrous to pretend like running backs don’t matter at all; they’re a rich and important piece of the history of football. They remain viable threats among the 11 players who start on offense, specifically among the five skill players you expect to see in most offensive formations. The question isn’t, “Do running backs matter?”The question instead that should be focused on is: Do running backs matter the least out of those five skill players on the field? More and more evidence is pointing to the answer being “Yes.” People fighting against that answer — especially people who argue that running backs matter the most out of those five skill players on the field — are potentially still holding onto a version of football that has not existed in quite some time.And they have little-to-no evidence to support an argument that the running back could be nearly as important as the quarterback, or even more important than a number one receiver Womens Frank Clark Jersey , number two receiver, or tight end. Instead the argument seems to always fall onto the side of not, “This is why I believe running backs are still as valuable as they were in the 1900s,” but: “I just don’t believe you or those odd-looking stats you cite.”When it comes to presenting evidence that running backs can still have a 50/50 contribution to an offense (that teams would split the responsibility between the QB and the RB, or that running plays are as valuable as passing plays), there simply isn’t any. There’s really none. Here is a little bit of evidence that not only are running backs or rushing not near the level of important of quarterbacks and passing, but that they might now be relegated, for the most part, to being a relatively small piece of an offense; a weapon that you dispatch at times knowing that a completed pass will likely get you much more.In other words, running backs are more like a WILL linebacker to an offense than they are a number one pass rusher or a shutdown corner.2018 has taken the run-pass imbalance to the next level and I would think that virtually all of the notable single-season and single-game passing records will be broken. Why? Well ... why not? If passing is this efficient, why would you go back to a style of offense that is decades past its effectiveness?The Top OffensesKansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes broke the record for most touchdown passes through three games, totaling 13 before the Chiefs’ Week 4 MNF game against the Denver Broncos. Mahomes added a touchdown against the Broncos and hasn’t throw an interception yet. If you’ve watched Mahomes this season, at any point did you think to yourself, “Damn, Chiefs need to run the ball more”?He, more than any other QB, seems to represent a further shift in the evolution of quarterbacks and the passing game. His number one target is a tight end. His number two is a 5’10 speed guy who likely could have been a running back in a not-so-distant past life. His number three is more of a classic “#1 WR” type who was the fourth overall pick a few years ago. Kareem Hunt went into Monday Night Football with 52 carries for 168 yards (3.2 YPC) and only three targets. Hunt was a Pro Bowl running back a year ago and instead of leaning on him, Andy Reid has shifted almost all of the focus to the talents of Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill Youth Ethan Pocic Jersey , and Sammy Watkins. Hunt had 63 targets last season. He might be lucky to get a third of that. Folks may turn to MNF and say, “Well, Hunt carried it 19 times for 121 yards and Kansas City won while scoring 27!” but that is an abuse of context.Hunt ran it a lot and ran it well in the first three quarters of the game. The score going into the fourth quarter: Broncos 20, Chiefs 13. Hunt was killing it and perhaps the best offense in the NFL prior to Week 4 was relegated to just 13 points. It became Mahomes’ offense in the fourth quarter and things were right again, with KC scoring two touchdowns to come from behind and win the game on the road.And snap counts among skill players? WR Chris Conley, 73TE Travis Kelce, 73WR Tyreek Hill, 70WR Demarcus Robinson, 45RB Kareem Hunt, 45So even when you add in the 24 snaps by running back Spencer Ware, the combined snaps of KC’s top two backs still doesn’t equal the individual snaps of Conley, Kelce, or Hill. This is a top-two offense in the NFL.Not that Reid minds an offense without a rushing attack: This is his 20th season as a head coach and he hasn’t had an offense that finished top-10 in rush attempts since 2002. He’s had eight teams that finished top-10 in pass attempts. And what does that do for a ground game? Reid’s had a team rank top-10 in yards per carry in 15 of his previous 19 campaigns. It’s not about running a lot, it’s about running efficiently; Reid’s “elite” backs? LeSean McCoy (52nd overall pick), Brian Westbrook (91st), and Hunt (86th). They’ve all helped a Reid offense finish top-three in yards per carry, as did Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware in 2015.If you wanted to argue against Reid’s credentials as an offensive genius, 2018 would not be the time to do it.The other 4-0 team with a new world offense is the LA Rams.The Rams are second in scoring at 35 points per game, which is five points per game better than their NFL-best scoring output in 2017. The biggest reason for that: Jared Goff. Sean McVay has managed to help get Goff from 62% completions, 8 Y/A last season to 72% and 10.5 Y/A in 2018. His current passer rating of 127.3 would be an NFL record (and Mahomes is also on pace for breaking that record) and how much of that has to do with Todd Gurley?Some.In their recent 38-31 win over the Minnesota Vikings — a defense I was told many times is great — Gurley ran it 17 times for 83 yards and no touchdowns. He caught four passes for 73 yards and one touchdown. Gurley’s value as a runner was nowhere near his value as a receiver. Goff threw it to Gurley six times and gained over 10 yards per attempt Youth Russell Wilson Jersey , more than double his 4.8 yards per carry. Of course you can’t abandon the run (I mean, that’s really more of a hypothesis until we see a team do it), but how difficult is getting 4.8 YPC from any NFL caliber back behind this offensive line? Gurley’s DVOA as a runner: 9.4%Gurley’s DVOA as a receiver: 21.2%The snap counts were more even than in Kansas City’s game, but still emphasized that Gurley is more like “one of the guys” than “the guy.”WR Robert Woods, 55 snapsWR Cooper Kupp, 53 snapsRB Todd Gurley, 53 snapsWR Brandin Cooks, 52 snapsAnd season yardage totals for these four players? It goes 452 receiving to Cooks, 348 to Kupp, 338 rushing to Gurley, and 323 receiving to Woods. Add in his 192 receiving and Gurley leads the team in total yardage, but as a runner, his contributions feel more mandatory than anything else.In both cases, let me ask you this:
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